❓ STATUS UPDATE · July 2026
Probo App Kab Chalu Hoga?
Will Probo Come Back to India?
Probo shut down real-money operations in August 2025. This page gives the honest answer to the most-searched question — what has to change legally for Probo to return, what court cases are still running, and what the realistic timeline looks like.
⚡ Honest Answer
Nobody can say yes or no today. Probo suspended operations “until further notice” — not permanently — and the company has actively challenged bans in court. But as of July 2026, no relaunch date has been announced, real-money opinion trading remains banned under India’s Online Gaming Act 2025, and the ED case is still active. The things that would need to change are specific — and this page covers exactly what they are.
Why did Probo shut down in the first place?
You need to understand the three layers of the shutdown to understand what a return would require. Each one is a separate hurdle.
⚖️ Layer 1: The Law
The Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Act, 2025 bans all real-money online games nationwide. This is the most fundamental barrier. For Probo to operate legally, this law would need to be amended or a court would need to rule that opinion trading falls outside its scope.
💰 Layer 2: The ED Case
The Enforcement Directorate’s PMLA case is independent of the gaming law. Even if the law changed tomorrow, the ongoing criminal proceedings against Probo’s promoters and the ₹401.9 crore in attached assets would still need to be resolved before operations could resume.
🏛️ Layer 3: State Laws
Before the central act, Probo had already been forced to exit Haryana, Assam, Sikkim, AP, Telangana, Nagaland, and Chhattisgarh under state gambling laws. Each would need to be addressed separately, even if the central law changed.
What court cases are still active?
Active Proceedings (as of July 2026)
Supreme Court
Consolidated petitions on whether opinion trading constitutes gambling — still pending. The 2025 act largely overtook the debate but proceedings continue.
ED / PMLA Case
Enforcement Directorate’s money laundering case against Probo’s promoters Ashish Garg and Sachin Gupta. Assets of ₹401.9 crore attached. Case active in 2026.
Punjab and Haryana HC
Probo’s challenge to the Haryana Prevention of Public Gambling Act 2025 — still pending before the High Court.
To watch →
Any Supreme Court ruling on the skill-vs-chance question, or Parliamentary amendment to the Online Gaming Act. Either would change this picture.
What Would Need to Happen
✅ Scenario A — Law Change
Parliament amends the Online Gaming Act to carve out regulated prediction markets. Possible but no such amendment is currently tabled.
⚖️ Scenario B — Court Ruling
Supreme Court rules opinion trading is a skill game outside the act’s scope. Would be a significant judgment — not anticipated soon.
❌ Scenario C — ED Case Resolved
ED case concluded in Probo’s favour and assets released. Even this alone wouldn’t allow reopening without addressing the gaming law.
📅 Realistic Timeline
All three scenarios require 12–36 months at minimum, if they happen at all. There is no basis for expecting a 2026 return.
Is Probo still operating outside India?
No. Probo Media Technologies Pvt. Ltd. was an India-only platform. It did not have international operations. When it suspended activities in August 2025, that was a full shutdown — not a relocation.
For context: prediction markets as a category are legal and thriving in other countries. In the US, platforms like Kalshi operate under CFTC regulation. In India, the government chose a ban. A future legislative change could open the door to regulated prediction markets here — but that is a policy question, not something Probo or any single company controls.
📡 We monitor this. This page gets a new verification date whenever Probo’s status changes. The things we watch: Supreme Court hearing dates on the opinion trading petitions, any Parliamentary amendment to the Online Gaming Act 2025, and updates on the ED’s PMLA proceedings. If Probo announces a relaunch, it will appear here first — with a source link and a date.
Frequently Asked Questions
📚 Sources
Storyboard18 — Probo shuts operations in India
G2G News — Supreme Court notice on opinion trading
Storyboard18 — Haryana exit and legal challenges
Disclaimer: Informational only, not legal advice. Verified 15 July 2026. This page is updated when Probo’s status changes.
